Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 10 at the 72

Las Vegas Raiders 0 – Baltimore Ravens 7

(:19) 6-A.Cole punts 67 yards to BAL 5, Center-47-T.Sieg. 13-D.Duvernay to BAL 20 for 15 yards (32-D.Leavitt; 44-N.Kwiatkoski).

The Three Options

GO -1.82 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +2.27 EP
65% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 72, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model