Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 12 at the 55

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Arizona Cardinals 7

(5:42) 6-J.Hekker punts 39 yards to ARI 16, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 12-P.Cooper.

The Three Options

GO -0.95 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 43, worth +3.25 EP
69% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 55, worth -2.81 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model