Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 6 at the 71

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – New York Jets 10

(6:05) 4-J.Berry punts 31 yards to NYJ 40, Center-57-K.Canaday, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.92 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.45 EP
60% chance to fail: New York Jets takes over around their own 71, worth -4.16 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model