Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 5 at the 73

Minnesota Vikings 3 – Green Bay Packers 0

(6:11) 2-B.Colquitt punts 46 yards to GB 27, Center-58-A.Cutting, fair catch by 32-T.Ervin.

The Three Options

GO -1.32 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.51 EP
51% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 73, worth -4.09 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model