Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 20 at the 85

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Dallas Cowboys 31

(9:55) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 65 yards to DAL 20, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 10-T.Austin to DAL 32 for 12 yards (41-K.Young).

The Three Options

GO -3.42 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.52 EP
74% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 85, worth -5.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (102 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model