Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 5 at the 70

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Dallas Cowboys 14

(10:06) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 67 yards to DAL 3, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-88-M.Thomas.

The Three Options

GO -1.53 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.58 EP
55% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 70, worth -4.04 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model