Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Tennessee Titans 4th & 6 at the 71

Tennessee Titans 0 – Houston Texans 7

(7:56) (Punt formation) 6-B.Kern punts 43 yards to HOU 28, Center-48-B.Brinkley, fair catch by 14-D.Carter.

The Three Options

GO -1.40 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.83 EP
55% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 71, worth -4.05 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model