Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 4 at the 69

Philadelphia Eagles 3 – New York Giants 17

(:11) 1-C.Johnston punts 54 yards to NYG 15, Center-45-R.Lovato, downed by PHI-39-C.James.

The Three Options

GO -1.07 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +0.19 EP
51% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 69, worth -2.28 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model