Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 11 at the 91

Cincinnati Bengals 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(8:44) (Punt formation) 10-K.Huber punts 43 yards to PIT 48, Center-46-C.Harris. 18-D.Johnson to CIN 48 for 4 yards (29-T.McRae).

The Three Options

GO -3.20 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +1.14 EP
69% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 91, worth -5.16 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model