Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 8 at the 73

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Baltimore Ravens 0

(13:45) 6-J.Hekker punts 48 yards to BAL 25, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 16-D.Thomas pushed ob at BAL 45 for 20 yards (41-K.Young).

The Three Options

GO -1.78 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.31 EP
64% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 73, worth -4.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model