Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 9 at the 76

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Los Angeles Rams 7

(13:16) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 58 yards to LA 18, Center-57-K.Canaday. 19-J.Natson to LA 16 for -2 yards (80-J.Holton).

The Three Options

GO -1.97 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +2.18 EP
64% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 76, worth -4.25 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model