Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 7 at the 72

Pittsburgh Steelers 7 – Los Angeles Rams 7

(5:40) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 43 yards to LA 29, Center-57-K.Canaday, fair catch by 19-J.Natson.

The Three Options

GO -1.58 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.04 EP
61% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 72, worth -3.90 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model