Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 10 at the 75

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Kansas City Chiefs 0

(14:44) 2-B.Colquitt punts 47 yards to KC 28, Center-58-A.Cutting, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.30 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.33 EP
62% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 75, worth -4.56 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model