Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 9 at the 60

Pittsburgh Steelers 24 – Los Angeles Chargers 10

(4:07) 4-J.Berry punts 46 yards to LAC 14, Center-57-K.Canaday. 20-D.King to LAC 21 for 7 yards (80-J.Holton; 56-A.Chickillo).

The Three Options

GO -1.06 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.15 EP
65% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 60, worth -2.76 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model