Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Green Bay Packers 4th & 20 at the 75

Green Bay Packers 31 – Dallas Cowboys 17

(10:37) (Punt formation) 6-J.Scott punts 41 yards to DAL 34, Center-43-H.Bradley, fair catch by 10-T.Austin.

The Three Options

GO -2.59 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.32 EP
74% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 75, worth -4.28 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model