Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 6 at the 76

Jacksonville Jaguars 14 – Tennessee Titans 0

(8:11) 9-L.Cooke punts 55 yards to TEN 21, Center-46-M.Orzech, downed by JAX-29-J.Robinson.

The Three Options

GO -1.94 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.64 EP
61% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 76, worth -4.25 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model