Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 6 at the 61

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – New England Patriots 0

(8:01) 4-J.Berry punts 43 yards to NE 18, Center-57-K.Canaday, fair catch by 80-G.Olszewski.

The Three Options

GO -1.23 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.94 EP
57% chance to fail: New England Patriots takes over around their own 61, worth -3.64 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model