Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 11 at the 90

Cincinnati Bengals 3 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(11:20) 10-K.Huber punts 38 yards to CIN 48, Center-46-C.Harris, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -3.35 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 79, worth +0.53 EP
66% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 90, worth -5.34 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (107 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model