Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 10 at the 77

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Dallas Cowboys 3

(3:29) (Punt formation) 4-M.Dickson punts 57 yards to DAL 20, Center-69-T.Ott. 10-T.Austin to DAL 29 for 9 yards (59-J.Martin, 49-SM.Griffin).

The Three Options

GO -2.40 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.23 EP
62% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 77, worth -4.63 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (94 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model