Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 71

Los Angeles Chargers 12 – Baltimore Ravens 3

(7:06) (Punt formation) 5-D.Jones punts 11 yards to LAC 40, Center-47-M.Windt, downed by LAC-51-K.Emanuel. Partially blocked by Allen

The Three Options

GO -1.75 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.46 EP
57% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 71, worth -4.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model