Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 19 at the 54

Los Angeles Rams 48 – San Francisco 49ers 32

(:32) 6-J.Hekker punts 37 yards to SF 17, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.50 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 35, worth +0.55 EP
74% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 54, worth -0.87 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model