Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 15 at the 62

Seattle Seahawks 23 – San Francisco 49ers 23

(:18) 4-M.Dickson punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-69-T.Ott, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -0.28 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +0.68 EP
69% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 62, worth -0.71 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model