Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 9 at the 65

Seattle Seahawks 23 – San Francisco 49ers 23

(2:46) 4-M.Dickson punts 65 yards to end zone, Center-69-T.Ott, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.07 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +1.61 EP
61% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 65, worth -2.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model