Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 10 at the 76

Jacksonville Jaguars 2 – Tennessee Titans 13

(1:24) (Punt formation) 9-L.Cooke punts 41 yards to TEN 35, Center-45-M.Overton, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.54 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.16 EP
67% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 76, worth -4.38 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model