Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 18 at the 62

Jacksonville Jaguars 2 – Tennessee Titans 13

(2:33) (Punt formation) 9-L.Cooke punts 56 yards to TEN 6, Center-45-M.Overton, downed by JAX-43-Q.Meeks.

The Three Options

GO -1.99 EP

24% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 44, worth +2.81 EP
76% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 62, worth -3.49 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model