Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 71

Los Angeles Rams 36 – Seattle Seahawks 31

(1:35) 6-J.Hekker punts 55 yards to SEA 16, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 16-T.Lockett to SEA 25 for 9 yards (52-R.Wilson).

The Three Options

GO -1.50 EP

47% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +0.47 EP
53% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 71, worth -3.23 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model