Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 76

Seattle Seahawks 7 – Los Angeles Chargers 6

(12:50) 4-M.Dickson punts 57 yards to LAC 19, Center-69-T.Ott. 20-D.King to LAC 17 for -2 yards (28-J.Coleman).

The Three Options

GO -1.82 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.74 EP
60% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 76, worth -4.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model