Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 97

Seattle Seahawks 28 – Detroit Lions 14

(2:18) (Punt formation) 4-M.Dickson right end to SEA 12 for 9 yards (34-C.LeBlanc).

The Three Options

GO -3.14 EP

What Happened

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 89, worth +0.38 EP
58% chance to fail: Detroit Lions takes over around their own 97, worth -5.72 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (114 yards).

Chose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +1.12 EP