Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 New York Giants 4th & 5 at the 63

New York Giants 20 – Houston Texans 6

(12:07) 9-R.Dixon punts 39 yards to HOU 24, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, downed by NYG-57-N.Stupar. The Ball was touched on the punt.

The Three Options

GO -1.18 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.18 EP
57% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 63, worth -3.70 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model