Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 9 at the 79

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(13:33) 6-C.Jones punts 50 yards to SEA 29, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 16-T.Lockett to SEA 36 for 7 yards (49-J.Olawale).

The Three Options

GO -2.64 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +0.77 EP
64% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 79, worth -4.58 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model