Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 7 at the 73

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Chicago Bears 7

(10:59) 4-M.Dickson punts 55 yards to CHI 18, Center-69-T.Ott. 29-T.Cohen pushed ob at CHI 33 for 15 yards (87-D.Daniels).

The Three Options

GO -2.08 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.53 EP
61% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 73, worth -4.35 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model