Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 14 at the 91

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Chicago Bears 7

(12:07) 4-M.Dickson punts 53 yards to CHI 38, Center-69-T.Ott, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.53 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 77, worth +0.87 EP
70% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 91, worth -5.43 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model