Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 7 at the 63

Dallas Cowboys 10 – New York Giants 0

(12:36) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 42 yards to NYG 21, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 15-K.Clay to NYG 26 for 5 yards (57-D.Wilson).

The Three Options

GO -1.23 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.57 EP
63% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 63, worth -3.43 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model