Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 8 at the 73

Los Angeles Rams 0 – San Francisco 49ers 10

(4:23) 6-J.Hekker punts 46 yards to SF 27, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.72 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.97 EP
61% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 73, worth -4.10 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model