Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 14 at the 84

Philadelphia Eagles 0 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(:10) 8-D.Jones punts 40 yards to DAL 44, Center-45-R.Lovato, fair catch by 10-R.Switzer.

The Three Options

GO -2.61 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.63 EP
67% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 84, worth -4.66 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model