Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 8 at the 73

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(6:50) 6-C.Jones punts 55 yards to PHI 18, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, downed by DAL-31-B.Jones.

The Three Options

GO -2.48 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.19 EP
65% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 73, worth -4.43 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model