Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 5 at the 82

Pittsburgh Steelers 34 – Houston Texans 6

(5:23) 4-J.Berry punts 57 yards to HOU 25, Center-57-K.Canaday. 13-B.Miller to HOU 32 for 7 yards (20-R.Golden; 29-B.Allen).

The Three Options

GO -1.99 EP

50% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 77, worth +0.57 EP
50% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 82, worth -4.60 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model