Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 12 at the 79

Los Angeles Rams 42 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(2:00) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to SEA 37, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 16-T.Lockett pushed ob at LA 45 for 18 yards (6-J.Hekker; 50-S.Ebukam).

The Three Options

GO -1.58 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.07 EP
67% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 79, worth -2.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model