Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 9 at the 74

Dallas Cowboys 10 – Las Vegas Raiders 0

(3:12) 6-C.Jones punts 43 yards to LV 31, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, fair catch by 30-J.Richard.

The Three Options

GO -2.06 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.58 EP
63% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 74, worth -4.22 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model