Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 4 at the 68

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Philadelphia Eagles 7

(6:42) 6-J.Hekker punts 56 yards to PHI 12, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.93 EP

47% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +2.17 EP
53% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 68, worth -3.68 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model