Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 5 at the 58

Seattle Seahawks 10 – Philadelphia Eagles 3

(4:48) 9-J.Ryan punts 39 yards to PHI 19, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 38-K.Barner.

The Three Options

GO -0.71 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.71 EP
58% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 58, worth -3.18 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (75 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model