Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 5 at the 75

Los Angeles Rams 16 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(13:52) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to ARI 33, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 10-B.Golden.

The Three Options

GO -1.97 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +0.88 EP
54% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 75, worth -4.45 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model