Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 17 at the 69

Pittsburgh Steelers 10 – Tennessee Titans 7

(10:08) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 40 yards to TEN 29, Center-57-K.Canaday, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.94 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.97 EP
74% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 69, worth -3.64 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model