Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 9 at the 67

Cincinnati Bengals 13 – Tennessee Titans 17

(11:57) (Punt formation) 10-K.Huber punts 43 yards to TEN 24, Center-46-C.Harris. 25-A.Jackson to TEN 29 for 5 yards (46-C.Harris).

The Three Options

GO -1.81 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.07 EP
67% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 67, worth -3.71 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model