Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 6 at the 86

Pittsburgh Steelers 7 – Cincinnati Bengals 0

(3:50) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 39 yards to CIN 47, Center-57-K.Canaday, fair catch by 12-A.Erickson.

The Three Options

GO -2.38 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +1.01 EP
57% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 86, worth -4.95 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (103 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model