Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 9 at the 59

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(1:34) 6-J.Hekker punts 34 yards to SEA 25, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.17 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.66 EP
68% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 59, worth -2.97 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (76 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model