Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 14 at the 69

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Chicago Bears 2

(10:10) (Punt formation) 4-R.Quigley punts 54 yards to CHI 15, Center-47-K.McDermott. 29-T.Cohen to CHI 22 for 7 yards (30-C.Ham).

The Three Options

GO -2.00 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.28 EP
69% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 69, worth -3.92 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model