Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 8 at the 68

Philadelphia Eagles 14 – New York Giants 14

What Actually Happened

(8:02) 8-D.Jones punts 41 yards to NYG 27, Center-45-R.Lovato. 17-D.Harris to NYG 27 for no gain. PENALTY on NYG-17-D.Harris, Invalid Fair Catch Signal, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 27.

The Three Options

GO -1.76 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.84 EP
64% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 68, worth -3.82 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model