Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 9 at the 73

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Arizona Cardinals 7

(12:44) 6-C.Jones punts 29 yards to ARI 44, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, downed by DAL-51-K.Wilber.

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +2.21 EP
65% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 73, worth -4.26 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model