Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 11 at the 65

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(8:55) (Punt formation) 4-R.Quigley punts 42 yards to PIT 23, Center-47-K.McDermott. 17-E.Rogers to PIT 22 for -1 yards (27-J.Kearse).

The Three Options

GO -1.92 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.29 EP
68% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 65, worth -3.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model